General Election exit poll analysis
On the 22nd June 2015 Year 12 students of Government and Politics and Statistics had the wonderful pleasure of meeting Patrick English, a PhD student at the University of Manchester, who worked on the 2015 General Election Exit Poll.
On the 22nd June 2015 Year 12 students of Government and Politics and Statistics had the wonderful pleasure of meeting Patrick English, a PhD student at the University of Manchester. After working on the 2015 General Election Exit Poll with leading political science academics such as Professor John Curtice, Mr English had so much to share regarding the recent general election. Mr English began by giving a cogent synopsis of the 2015 Exit Poll, before giving students an insight to the science behind predicting the entire general election. Mr English also applied the Exit Poll methodology to the recent LSST Mock Election predicting that, should there had been a surprise Mock Election in July, the Liberal Democrats would win significantly more seats and the Conservatives would lose a few seats while still holding an overall majority in the fictional ‘School House of Commons’. After being provided with such a unique opportunity to learn about the Exit Poll, students jumped at the chance to ask the questions that the entire country have been asking, such as ‘why were the previous polls so inaccurate?’. Mr English’s expert knowledge made this an outstanding experience for those politics enthusiasts, especially those of which forfeited hours of sleep to see Mr English’s team provide their much anticipated Exit Poll on live television. Mr English’s visit was well welcomed and received by the swathe of budding Government and Politics students who relished the chance to further their political knowledge.
-William J. Blyth